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Despite the signing of the November 2022 Cessation of Hostilities Agreement (COHA), impunity prevails, and victims and survivors remain without redress. Accountability efforts have been inconsistent, politically compromised or prematurely shut down, including the quiet closure of the African Commission on Human and Peoples’ Rights’ Commission of Inquiry on Tigray without the release of a public report, and the termination of the UN International Commission of Human Rights Experts on Ethiopia following intense lobbying by the Ethiopian government. These gaps in international oversight have denied survivors meaningful paths to justice, while enabling impunity for perpetrators. More than two years after Ethiopia’s Ministry of Justice endorsed transitional justice recommendations, violence continues to escalate across the country, eroding hopes for peace and rendering accountability increasingly elusive — including the implementation of both the transitional justice framework and the COHA.
Conflict has continued to intensified in Oromia, where credible reports indicate senior officials have ordered extrajudicial killings, illegal detentions, forced disappearances, prolonged prison and forced conscription. In Amhara, violence between an ethnic-based militia and the federal government has killed hundreds of civilians, including through extrajudicial and summary executions and drone strikes by federal forces. Both state security forces and armed groups have targeted populations along ethnic lines, deepening grievances and sowing the seeds for further atrocities. According to the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), at least 1,351 civilians were killed in Amhara and Oromia between January 2023 – January 2024 in attacks reportedly perpetrated by federal and regional government forces and myriad armed groups. Government forces were responsible for at least 70 percent of these abuses. Killings of civilians and sexual violence continue to remain pervasive in conflict zones, with Physicians for Human Rights and the Organization for Justice and Accountability in the Horn documenting the widespread use against communities in Tigray, Amhara and Afar. A lack of atrocity prevention in Tigray has fueled the spread of sexual violence in these other regions.
Meanwhile, survivors lack access to comprehensive health services and humanitarian relief, as health care facilities need support for reconstruction and rehabilitation to strengthen the availability, accessibility, acceptability and quality of services.
The situation for those internally displaced by the conflict remains dire, with options for return slim. In Tigray alone, an estimated 878,000 people remain displaced. Meanwhile, cuts to global aid funding have deepened barriers to services and exacerbated harm. The federal government also continues to restrict civic space and threaten human rights organizations, defenders and independent media, tightening its grip on those who seek to hold the authorities to account. These efforts have intensified in the lead up to elections slated for December 2025.
These ongoing abuses, together with rising regional tensions, illustrate the failure of Ethiopia’s authorities to fully engage in a transitional justice process and protect civilians, ensure accountability or address the root causes of violence. Consequently, Ethiopia remains trapped in a cycle of impunity and the persistent risk of renewed atrocities.
To break this cycle and safeguard human rights, we urge the international community to:
The international community’s response to the atrocities in Ethiopia has too often been marked by delay and deference. However, the scale and gravity of these crimes, both past and ongoing, demand urgent and decisive action. Without accountability, atrocities are bound to recur, and the already fragile promise of transitional justice may collapse. To prevent further atrocities, the international community should make the prevention of a relapse into war in Tigray — and between Ethiopia and Eritrea — an urgent moral, political and legal priority.
We therefore urge member states, multilateral institutions and donors to recommit to the principles of justice and civilian protection, and to ensure that Ethiopia does not remain a blind spot in global atrocity prevention efforts.
 
    
     
    
     
    
    Ralph Bunche Institute for International Studies
The Graduate Center, CUNY
365 Fifth Avenue, Suite 5203
New York, NY 10016-4309, USA